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Murilo Jambeiro de Oliveira<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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Brazil, July 14, 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
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A long time ago, I wrote an article that I consider pivotal. At the time, I had seen a concert by the singer C\u00e9u and was quite impressed. But let’s look at what the article “The Sky is the Limit” says on this blog, CoexistenceLaw.Org ( https:\/\/coexistencelaw.org\/?p=175<\/a> ), dated December 23, 2021. I consider it a foundational article for all the geopolitics I will defend until some point in history:<\/p>\n\n\n\n “With Mama thus available at home, I must say that there were two worldviews in the United States, and one in the world about the United States. That one in the world about the United States is that it is a declining power, or in crisis. The two Americans are, first the Republicans, who thought they could put pressure on China with the help of Russia. Which I think is naive. And that of the Democrats, that Russia and China are not going to slip off the map, and a stronger NATO-based reorder might maintain some balance for some time, which is mine.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n At that moment, I was quite impressed by the recent election of President Joe Biden, to whom I also paid tribute on this CoexistenceLaw.Org blog at the end of his term in an article entitled “The Biggest Eagle I’ve Ever Known!” ( https:\/\/coexistencelaw.org\/?p=1224<\/a> ) on August 20, 2024. A cycle had come to a close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Following the elections that followed on that date in the United States of America was not without its consequences. To begin with, it didn’t even seem like a Brazilian one. 30 days before the first round in Brazil, I was removed from my home against my will, left without communication, only to return after the first round of the Brazilian elections. I don’t know who my voters are, but they peak at ten thousand in a month. In general, I believe that many people who know me, and a very qualified audience around the world, have many international voters, according to statistics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n And what happens is that at some point, in all this nonsense, I don’t have a single comma to add to the Brazilian municipal election, or especially in S\u00e3o Paulo, where I had a very close relationship with one of the candidates for a brief but important period. He called me his logistics coordinator, because I never hesitated to catch him working on campaigns other than his own, to talk at length about municipal politics, urban sociology, urban reform, and a wide variety of issues. But I argue that in the last election, this has nothing to do with this, or couldn’t have, because ultimately, I have the occasional more general conversation about life, about life in the metropolis, about broader topics, with one of the candidates, and I don’t even vote there anymore, nor do I want to take any part in the election in Guaratinguet\u00e1. Clearly, I had already washed my hands of the municipal election in Guaratinguet\u00e1, where I vote. What I’ll argue during this stay, perhaps to myself, complaining and grumbling, is that there were still, and will continue to be, fundamental questions about the US election that weren’t fully clarified.<\/p>\n\n\n\n And today, seeing the conjunction of planets across planet Earth, it seems appropriate to explain. The seminal article “The Sky’s the Limit,” cited above, defines the differences between Republicans and Democrats for me, who am not historically in any way anti-American. Living in Brazil, for starters, means dealing with this a priori definition\u2014a kind of non-addressing of the issue, but also a historical fact that divides the population into Americanophiles and Anti-Americans. I don’t classify myself as anti-American because I think it’s the culture I had, just like France. The first French mission, which founded the University of S\u00e3o Paulo, was from France, as were the schools I most enjoyed studying at as a child: French nuns. And I say one for the other, because if for some the Brazilian Military Dictatorship was Yankee, the mission that trained Police Chiefs as Paranhos in torturing students was French. In 20 years, there were 400 students, now in the country’s government, and with everything I’ve said, I no longer find it strange that in the 20 years I spent between the ages of 23 and 44 caring for my parents in the interior of the country, the political persecution, that this already accounts for perhaps 400 of us who were students. It’s a matter of one day meeting. Because nostalgia doesn’t make much of a friend in trouble, but like the one who presided over the 10 Academic Centers of the Pontifical Catholic University of S\u00e3o Paulo in the first semester of 2004, I consider myself a student leader, and such kidnappings, in reality, because a kidnapping isn’t proof; it was simply taken from home under duress from their parents, I don’t use illegal drugs, I didn’t commit any illegal acts, I didn’t mistreat anyone. But I’ll explain at this point the issue of the US election.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The issue of the Ukraine War weighed heavily on the United States, and still does, but in a seemingly insoluble way. While Lula, for example, felt comfortable aligning himself in this war alongside Russia, failing to even manage a meeting with President Zelensky, President Joe Biden thought of nothing else but sending bombs and more bombs to the Russian border. In his magnificent political career, like Lula and Celso Amorim, Biden had already reached a level of indisposition toward Russia that seemed familiar and irrevocable. We’ll never know, but that’s what it seemed to me. It seemed as if Biden’s position as America’s leader had been so vaunted as a political leader throughout his life that it even echoed in his son, Hunter Biden’s, business dealings, and that would never resolve that conflict. Yes, her Vice President and Presidential Candidate is running on a ticket with a Vice Presidential Candidate of the United States who doesn’t seem to be at odds with Bolsonaro. Indeed, he’s a soccer or basketball coach, who, regardless of his intentions, comes from any Jewish family worth their salt, like that of Candidate Kamala Harris herself, and is subject to a bit of a ruckus, audible even in Brazil, from thousands of students outside the Democratic Convention, complaining about her leniency toward the massacre in Gaza, where she promised more bombs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n What is the connection between the two that makes me waver, and declare to the passerby in captivity, I have something to say about the American election? The so-called “Abraham Accords” ( https:\/\/pt.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Acordos_de_Abra%C3%A3o<\/a> ), what’s the point? To believe that by being very close friends of President Donald Trump on the other side of the battlefront, he would be able to, as he complains today about hanging up the phone with Putin and nothing changes, but they call each other all the time, which is a favor to humanity, considering they are two people who, with a single communication problem, could destroy the entire planet Earth many times over. But the point was, to believe that the “Abraham Accords”, friends of President Donald Trump, lining up as Wikipedia describes, to try to combine peace and respect for their borders, would be something better. That’s the central point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n I’ve been defining this policy on the CoexistenceLaw.Org blog as the “Children of Abraham” policy. Something that resonates even in my assessment of the Papacy of Francis, I complain a lot about a statement by the Holy Father that is very distant from the Russian Patriarchs in Malta, and I affirm as the foundation stone of my X network @FundOliveira the statement of the same that says that we are all children, as notoriously an Augustinian like Leo XIV is notably the son of Saint Monica, and it was in the student movement a victory a priori for me the Leo XIII Academic Center of the Pontifical University of S\u00e3o Paulo, a gigantic budget of the entire FEA-PUCSP. <\/p>\n\n\n\n In other words, the time has come for the three monotheistic religions to reunite. Any alleged support I’ve given or still give to President Donald Trump basically consists of this belief. From this perspective, being a much more viable person, an extremely particular perspective, everyone has their own, and this is reflected in one or two more accessible analysts of international politics, more deeply Republican than traditionally Democrat, as I’ve always been, after hosting Bill Clinton in Brazil, when I was the student cultural director of the Museum of Brazilian Art, another piece of data quite consistent with the fact that he’s a well-known and targeted Brazilian student leader, even today. And I say this today because suddenly, President Donald Trump doesn’t just say it like that\u2014after all, we’re the ones who know nothing\u2014but tries, for example, to ask if he’s appearing naive, as I asked myself long ago. And Celso Amorim, by the way, at the same time, Lula went to China. He went to Russia and Lula to China on their first trip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n PT-BR<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n Ativista Inativo<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n Murilo Jambeiro de Oliveira<\/p>\n\n\n\n Brasil, 14 de julho de 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n H\u00e1 muito tempo, escrevi um artigo que considero central, na \u00e9poca havia assistido um show da cantora C\u00e9u, e estava bastante impressionado. Mas vamos ao que diz o artigo “O C\u00e9u \u00e9 o Limite” nesse Blog CoexistenceLaw.Org ( https:\/\/coexistencelaw.org\/?p=169<\/a> ) em 23 de dezembro de 2021, considero um artigo fundante de toda a geopol\u00edtica que eu vou defender depois at\u00e9 algum ponto da hist\u00f3ria:<\/p>\n\n\n\n “Estando a Mam\u00e3e assim dispon\u00edvel em casa, devo dizer que havia nos Estados Unidos duas vis\u00f5es de mundo, e em que conste uma no mundo sobre os Estados Unidos. Essa uma no mundo sobre os Estados Unidos \u00e9 que ela \u00e9 potencia decadente, ou em crise. As duas Americanas s\u00e3o, primeiro a dos Republicanos, que achavam que podiam pressionar a China com a ajuda da R\u00fassia. Que eu acho ingenua. E a de Democratas, que R\u00fassia e China n\u00e3o v\u00e3o se descolar do mapa, e um reordenamento baseado na OTAN mais forte, pode manter algum equil\u00edbrio por algum tempo, que \u00e9 a minha.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n Estava naquele momento, bastante impressionado pela recente elei\u00e7\u00e3o do Presidente Joe Biden, a quem tamb\u00e9m nesse Blog CoexistenceLaw.Org rendi homenagens de fim de governo em artigo intitulado “The Biggest Eagle I\u2019ve Ever Known!” ( https:\/\/coexistencelaw.org\/?p=1224<\/a> ) em 20 de agosto de 2024. Fechava-se um ciclo.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Acompanhar as elei\u00e7\u00f5es que se seguiram nessa ultima data nos Estados Unidos da Am\u00e9rica n\u00e3o foram impunes. Para principio de conversa nem a brasileira me pareceu, 30 dias antes do primeiro turno no Brasil, eu sou retirado de casa contra minha vontade, ficando sem comunica\u00e7\u00e3o, para s\u00f3 retornar ap\u00f3s o primeiro turno nas elei\u00e7\u00f5es brasileiras. N\u00e3o sei que s\u00e3o meus eleitores, mas eles chegam a picos de dez mil em um m\u00eas. Em geral acredito que muitas pessoas que me conhecem, e uma audi\u00eancia muito qualificada em todo mundo, tenho muitos eleitores internacionais segundo as estat\u00edsticas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n E o que acontece que em algum momento, desse absurdo todo eu digo, eu n\u00e3o tenho nem uma virgula a adicionar mais a elei\u00e7\u00e3o municipal brasileira, ou especialmente em S\u00e3o Paulo Capital, onde tive por um curto mas importante per\u00edodo uma rela\u00e7\u00e3o muito pr\u00f3xima com um dos candidatos. Ele me chamava de seu coordenador de log\u00edstica, pois eu n\u00e3o me furtava pega-lo trabalhando em campanhas outras que n\u00e3o a sua, para conversar longamente sobre pol\u00edtica municipal, sociologia urbana, reforma urbana, quest\u00f5es as mais variadas. Mas eu argumento na \u00faltima elei\u00e7\u00e3o, isso n\u00e3o tem rela\u00e7\u00e3o alguma com isso, ou n\u00e3o poderia ter, porque no limite eu tenho uma ou outra conversa mais gen\u00e9rica sobre a vida, sobre a vida na metr\u00f3pole, sobre temas mais amplos, com um dos candidatos, e nem voto mais l\u00e1, nem quero tomar parte alguma na elei\u00e7\u00e3o em Guaratinguet\u00e1. Claramente j\u00e1 havia at\u00e9 lavado as m\u00e3os da elei\u00e7\u00e3o municipal de Guaratinguet\u00e1 onde voto. O que eu vou argumentar durante essa estadia, talvez para mim mesmo, me reclamando e rabujando, \u00e9 que ainda tinha e teria, quest\u00f5es fundamentais sobre a elei\u00e7\u00e3o nos Estados Unidos da Am\u00e9rica que n\u00e3o estavam completamente esclarecidas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n E hoje vendo a conjun\u00e7\u00e3o de planetas em todo planeta Terra, me parece adequado explicar. O artigo seminal “O C\u00e9u \u00e9 o Limite” que supra citado, define diferen\u00e7as entre Republicanos e Democratas para mim, que n\u00e3o sou historicamente de forma alguma, uma pessoa anti-americana, pois para come\u00e7o de conversa viver no Brasil \u00e9 lidar com essa defini\u00e7\u00e3o a priori, uma esp\u00e9cie de n\u00e3o tratar do assunto, mas tamb\u00e9m um fato hist\u00f3rico, que divide a popula\u00e7\u00e3o em American\u00f3filos e Anti-Americanos. Eu n\u00e3o me enquadro em Anti-Americano porque acho que \u00e9 a cultura que tive, da mesma forma que a Fran\u00e7a, foi da Fran\u00e7a a primeira miss\u00e3o francesa que fundou a Universidade de S\u00e3o Paulo, bem como as escolas que mais gostei de estudar na inf\u00e2ncia, freiras francesas, e digo um pelo outro, porque se para alguns a Ditadura Militar brasileira foi Yankee a miss\u00e3o que treinou os Delegados de Policia como Paranhos em tortura de estudantes foi francesa. Foram em 20 anos 400 estudantes, hoje no Governo do Pais, e com tudo que relato, j\u00e1 n\u00e3o acho estranho que nos 20 anos que eu passei entre os 23 anos e os 44 anos cuidando dos meus pais no interior do pa\u00eds, a persegui\u00e7\u00e3o pol\u00edtica, que isso some j\u00e1 talvez 400 de n\u00f3s que eramos estudantes, \u00e9 quest\u00e3o de um dia a gente se encontrar. Pois saudade n\u00e3o d\u00e1 muito de amigo de enrascada, mas como por exemplo aquele que presidiu os 10 Centros Acad\u00eamicos da Pontif\u00edcia Universidade Cat\u00f3lica de S\u00e3o Paulo no primeiro semestre de 2004, me considero uma lideran\u00e7a estudantil, e tais sequestros na realidade, pois um sequestro n\u00e3o faz prova, foi simplesmente \u00e9 retirado de casa sob coa\u00e7\u00e3o de seus pais, eu n\u00e3o consumo drogas ilegais, n\u00e3o cometi nenhuma ilegalidade, n\u00e3o mal tratei ningu\u00e9m. Mas explico essa hora a quest\u00e3o da elei\u00e7\u00e3o Norte Americana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Pesava como ainda pesa sobre os Estados Unidos da Am\u00e9rica, mas de forma aparentemente insol\u00favel, a quest\u00e3o da Guerra da Ucr\u00e2nia. Enquanto Lula por exemplo se sentia confort\u00e1vel em se alinhar nessa guerra ao lado da R\u00fassia, n\u00e3o conseguindo se quer um encontro com o Presidente Zelensky, o Presidente Joe Biden t\u00e3o pouco pensava em outra coisa como mandar bombas e mais bombas para a fronteira com a R\u00fassia, tendo j\u00e1, em sua bel\u00edssima carreira politica, como de Lula, e Celso Amorim, chego a um n\u00edvel, ele Biden, de indisposi\u00e7\u00e3o com a R\u00fassia que parecia ser familiar e irrecorr\u00edvel. Nunca saberemos, mas era o que me aparentava, parecia que a posi\u00e7\u00e3o de lider da Am\u00e9rica de Biden era t\u00e3o decantada como um lider politico por toda sua vida, que ecoava at\u00e9 nos neg\u00f3cios de seu filho Hunter Biden, e isso n\u00e3o iria solucionar nunca aquele conflito. Outro sim, sua Vice-Presidente e Candidata a Presid\u00eancia, apresenta uma chapa com um Candidato a Vice-Presidente dos Estados Unidos da Am\u00e9rica, que n\u00e3o parece ser divergente de qualquer Bolsonaro, ali\u00e1s, um t\u00e9cnico de futebol ou basquete, que independente de suas inten\u00e7\u00f5es, de qualquer fam\u00edlia judia que valha a pena, como a da pr\u00f3pria Candidata Kamala Harris, arca um pouco com um barulho aud\u00edvel at\u00e9 do Brasil, de milhares de estudantes do lado de fora da Conven\u00e7\u00e3o Democrata, reclamando de sua leni\u00eancia com o massacre em Gaza, onde ela prometia mais bombas.<\/p>\n\n\n\n